Global oat trade will see major shifts in 2018/19

Posted on Wednesday, October 31st, 2018 at 3:05 pm News Stories.

Significant oat production problems in major global oat exporting countries is going to see major shifts in market share and trade patterns.  Only two of the top five exporters, which account for 90% of global oat exports, will see gains in 2018/19, Canada and Poland (3% and 34%).  Sweden, Finland Sweden the other three in […]

Saskatchewan oat harvest 90% complete but serious lag remains in northwest

Posted on Thursday, October 25th, 2018 at 2:40 pm News Stories.

After multiple weeks of delay, many Saskatchewan producers were able to return to the field and complete harvest. Thanks to warm and dry weather last week, producers now have 90% of the provincial oat crop in the bin, according to Saskatchewan Agriculture’s weekly Crop Report. This is up from 72% last week. While many producers […]

Canadian 2018/19 Canadian oat supply and use Outlook uncomfortably tight, exports and feed use remain the wild cards

Posted on Monday, September 24th, 2018 at 4:16 pm News Stories.

A forecasted dropped in Canadian oat production of 9.4% this year, expectations of still strong on-farm feed use, coupled with forecasts of unchanged oat exports and 3.4% higher mill use is likely to produce an uncomfortably tight 2018/19 Canadian oat supply/use outlook. We are currently forecasting 2018/19 Canadian oat end stocks at 0.530 Mt. If […]

Number of CBOT oat traders falls below the threshold for COT reporting

Posted on Monday, September 17th, 2018 at 12:35 pm News Stories.

For the first time since the Commodities Futures and Trading Commission (CFTC) began reporting net positions by category, oats were not reportable last week. Hence no COT report from us this past weekend. Before I get into my tirade on this subject, I want to make it clear I believe strongly in the need for […]

Oat production in major South American markets are forecast at the second highest level in the past 10 years and well above averages

Posted on Tuesday, August 14th, 2018 at 7:07 pm News Stories.

Oat production in Brazil, Argentina, and Chile, the three largest oat producers in South America, is forecast to climb to a combined 2.045 MMT. If realized, this would be up 14% from 2017 estimates of 1.796 and well above the five-year average of 1.649 MMT. These countries account for 98% of South America’s annual oat […]

Forecasted strong demand for oat related foods will see India remain a major global importer of oat and oat products moving forward

Posted on Wednesday, August 8th, 2018 at 8:49 pm News Stories.

India, the world’s largest importer of oat products behind the US and Mexico, is reporting total oat product imports up 14.7% in the first five months of 2018 (see below).  Raw oat imports are down 33% YTD but have been trending higher over the past five-years as more domestic processing comes online. Rising demand for […]

Saskatchewan 2018 oat crop forecast 7% below average as harvested area declines offset good oat yields

Posted on Thursday, July 26th, 2018 at 6:58 pm News Stories.

Saskatchewan Agriculture (SA) is reporting crops in the province continue to develop quickly. The majority of crops remain in fair to excellent condition, depending on moisture received over the past few weeks.  Some areas received rainfall last week that will replenish the topsoil moisture and help crops fill, including oats. SA is indicating 76% of […]

Oat production in major EU oat producers, traders & millers forecast to drop to near the record low in 2018, higher quality oat prices expected to climb

Posted on Tuesday, July 24th, 2018 at 6:03 pm News Stories.

EU oat crop in major producers expected to fall to historic low creating issues for oat millers Extraordinarily dry conditions across most of the Northern EU oat producing region this spring/summer is expected to produce the smallest EU oat crop on record.  Production in Sweden, Finland, Germany, Poland, the UK, Denmark, Belgium and Ireland is […]

US forecasting US oat production to climb 34% this year

Posted on Friday, July 13th, 2018 at 7:05 am News Stories.

The USDA is forecasting US oat production to climb to 0.964 MMT, which if realized would be a 34% increase over the near record low 2017 crop of 0.717 MMT.  Harvested area is forecast to climb 26% with yields up 6.6%. Yields are forecast to climb 7-31% compared to 2017 in North and South Dakota, […]