Canadian forecasted 18.1% oat plantings increase improves the balance sheet, but questions remain

Posted on Wednesday, June 26th, 2019 at 3:23 pm News Stories.

On the surface Stats Cans forecasted 18.1% increase in Canadian oat plantings looks impressive and certainly as you can see below improves substantially the supply outlook in 2019/20 (see attachment). However, there remain several major unknowns that could reduce the improved outlook. First, the drought/dry this growing season has likely put a cap on yields […]

Canadian oat plantings forecast up 7.8%, acres could climb further

Posted on Wednesday, April 24th, 2019 at 6:17 am News Stories.

Statistics Canada released its 2019 Canadian Planting intentions today.  Canadian farmers anticipate planting more acres of wheat, corn, dry peas and oats in 2019 compared with 2018 while seeding intentions for canola, soybeans, and lentils have declined relative to the previous year. Oat plantings were estimated at 3.291 MilAc, up 7.8% compared to the final […]

Global oat prices in major markets churning steady to lower into spring plantings

Posted on Monday, April 1st, 2019 at 5:58 pm News Stories.

Oat prices in major global oat markets continue to churn mostly sideways to lower as we move into Northern Hemisphere and Australia seeding. Prices have moved off multi-year highs reached in Sep-Dec.  This is mirroring broader Ag markets where corn, wheat, and barley prices have been trending sideways to lower. We are not expecting any […]

Bill Would Ban Late-Harvest Spraying of Roundup Weedkiller on Oats

Posted on Tuesday, March 19th, 2019 at 10:55 am News Stories.

DeLauro’s Legislation Would Require Tests for Glyphosate on Kids’ Foods The Environmental Working Group  -WASHINGTON – Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.) introduced legislation Friday last week to dramatically limit American children’s exposure to glyphosate, the active ingredient in Monsanto’s Roundup weedkiller, in food. The bill would not only ban late-harvest spraying of glyphosate on oats but […]

EU oat exports up 3% YTD despite a drought-impacted 2018 oat crop, imports up 17%

Posted on Monday, March 18th, 2019 at 4:01 pm News Stories.

EU-28 exports are up 3% year-to-date (Jul-Dec) despite significant production losses in major EU oat exporters.  Total exports are reported at 608 ThMT, up from 591 ThMT for the same period last year. Imports YTD are also higher, up 17%, This is one of the strongest YTD paces we’ve seen in years. Exports from Sweden […]

Farm Credit Canada forecasting a 16% increase in oat plantings, well above Ag Canada and the Canadian oat trade’s 5% guess

Posted on Thursday, February 21st, 2019 at 7:01 pm News Stories.

Forecasts for 2019 Canadian crop plantings are beginning to come forward.  The latest estimates from Farm Credit Canada are calling for a 16% increase in Canadian seeded oat area this spring.  This compares with the recent Ag Canada forecast of up 5.3%, and the average industry estimate of between 3-5% higher. Quite clearly, anything less […]

UK oat milling remains on a record pace, oat product exports down 5.8% YTD

Posted on Friday, February 8th, 2019 at 5:44 am News Stories.

AHDB published the latest year-to-date (Jul-Dec) UK oat milling estimates today. Mill use in the first six months of the 2018/19 crop year was pegged at 0.282 MMT, up 2.8% YOY. Use in the second quarter was down 2.8% compared to the prior year but YTD use remains on a record pace. Oat stocks at […]

Canadian oat balance sheet remains tight, feed use and exports remain key factors

Posted on Sunday, January 6th, 2019 at 6:15 pm News Stories.

The 2018/19 Canadian oat balance sheet remains very tight after the first five months of the crop year. End stocks are forecast at 0.527 MMT, which if realized would be down 33% from 2017/18 and 38% below the five-year average (see below). Two variables, exports, and feed use remain the major factors that will impact […]