US oat import pace up 3% YTD, broader trends down

Posted on Wednesday, March 11th, 2020 at 8:20 pm News Stories.

US oat imports year-to-date (Jun-Jan) are estimated at 1.073 MMT, up 3% from last year but 6% behind the five-year average. Canadian exports to the US are up 6.4% YTD while Finnish exports are down 30%. No Swedish exports are showing up so far. The current pace would put total 2019/20 crop year imports at […]

Stats Can estimates Canadian oat stocks up 11% YOY. Milling use and oat product exports on another record pace

Posted on Wednesday, February 5th, 2020 at 6:15 am News Stories.

Statistics Canada today released its estimate of grain and oilseed stocks as of December 31, 2019 this morning. Total stocks of oats are up 11% year over year to 2.67 million tonnes. On-farm stocks climbed 9% to 2.38 million tonnes, while commercial stocks rose 30.9% to 288,000 tonnes. Stocks in all position area up 3% […]

Aussie oat crop downgraded again

Posted on Tuesday, December 3rd, 2019 at 2:36 pm News Stories.

ABARES lowered its Australia oat production forecast to 0.980 MMT today. This is up 5.4% from last year’s drought-impacted crop but 32% below the five-year average. This year’s crop was also impacted by dry/drought with yields falling 12% below the five-year average. The lower production outlook coupled with reduced carry-in stocks will require commercials oat […]

Canadian oat production forecast up 15%, in line with trade expectations

Posted on Wednesday, August 28th, 2019 at 5:58 am News Stories.

Statistics Canada (STC) released their first 2019 crop estimate today. Total Canadian oat production was estimated at 3,953 ThMt, up 15% from 2018 estimates of 3,436 ThMt and 17.6% above the average of 3,455 ThMt (see attached for detail).  The estimate was in line with our estimate and the average traders were expecting. Oat production […]

Canadian forecasted 18.1% oat plantings increase improves the balance sheet, but questions remain

Posted on Wednesday, June 26th, 2019 at 3:23 pm News Stories.

On the surface Stats Cans forecasted 18.1% increase in Canadian oat plantings looks impressive and certainly as you can see below improves substantially the supply outlook in 2019/20 (see attachment). However, there remain several major unknowns that could reduce the improved outlook. First, the drought/dry this growing season has likely put a cap on yields […]

Canadian oat plantings forecast up 7.8%, acres could climb further

Posted on Wednesday, April 24th, 2019 at 6:17 am News Stories.

Statistics Canada released its 2019 Canadian Planting intentions today.  Canadian farmers anticipate planting more acres of wheat, corn, dry peas and oats in 2019 compared with 2018 while seeding intentions for canola, soybeans, and lentils have declined relative to the previous year. Oat plantings were estimated at 3.291 MilAc, up 7.8% compared to the final […]

Global oat prices in major markets churning steady to lower into spring plantings

Posted on Monday, April 1st, 2019 at 5:58 pm News Stories.

Oat prices in major global oat markets continue to churn mostly sideways to lower as we move into Northern Hemisphere and Australia seeding. Prices have moved off multi-year highs reached in Sep-Dec.  This is mirroring broader Ag markets where corn, wheat, and barley prices have been trending sideways to lower. We are not expecting any […]

Bill Would Ban Late-Harvest Spraying of Roundup Weedkiller on Oats

Posted on Tuesday, March 19th, 2019 at 10:55 am News Stories.

DeLauro’s Legislation Would Require Tests for Glyphosate on Kids’ Foods The Environmental Working Group  -WASHINGTON – Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.) introduced legislation Friday last week to dramatically limit American children’s exposure to glyphosate, the active ingredient in Monsanto’s Roundup weedkiller, in food. The bill would not only ban late-harvest spraying of glyphosate on oats but […]

EU oat exports up 3% YTD despite a drought-impacted 2018 oat crop, imports up 17%

Posted on Monday, March 18th, 2019 at 4:01 pm News Stories.

EU-28 exports are up 3% year-to-date (Jul-Dec) despite significant production losses in major EU oat exporters.  Total exports are reported at 608 ThMT, up from 591 ThMT for the same period last year. Imports YTD are also higher, up 17%, This is one of the strongest YTD paces we’ve seen in years. Exports from Sweden […]